Eugenia Kalnay - Selected recent refereed publications#

• Toth, Zoltan and E. Kalnay, 1993: Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the generation of perturbations. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 74, 2317-2330.
• Tracton, MS, and E. Kalnay, 1993: Ensemble forecasting at NMC: Practical aspects. Weather and Forecasting, 8, 379-398, 1993.
• Reynolds, Carolyn A., Peter J. Webster and Eugenia Kalnay, 1994: Random error growth in NMC's global forecasts,. Mon. Wea. Rev, 122, 1281-1305.
• Mo, KC, X. L. Wang, R. Kistler, M. Kanamitsu and E. Kalnay, 1995: Impact of satellite data on the CDAS-reanalysis system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 124-139.
• Wobus, R. and E. Kalnay, 1995: Three years of operational prediction of forecast skill, Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2132-2148.
• Kalnay, E. 1995: Numerical Weather Prediction,. Computers in Physics, 9, 488-495. Toth, Zoltan and Eugenia Kalnay, 1997: Ensemble Forecasting at NCEP: the breeding method,. Mon. Wea. Rev.,125, 3297-3319.
• E. Kalnay and M. Kanamitsu, R. Kistler, W. Collins, D. Deaven, L. Gandin, M. Iredell, S. Saha, G. White, J. Woollen, Y. Zhu, M. Chelliah, W. Ebisuzaki, W.Higgins, J. Janowiak, K. C. Mo, C. Ropelewski, J. Wang, A. Leetmaa, R. Reynolds, Roy Jenne, Dennis Joseph, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1996, 77,437-431. (it contains the first CD ROM ever published by the AMS with 13 years of reanalysis).
• Szunyogh, I., Z. Toth and E. Kalnay, 1997: A comparison of Lyapunov vectors and optimal vectors in a low resolution general circulation model. Tellus, 49A, 200-227.
• Pu, Z-X, E. Kalnay, J. Sela, and I. Szunyogh, 1997: Sensitivity of forecast errors to initial conditions with a quasi-inverse linear model, Mon. Wea. Rev. ,125, 2479-2503.
• Pu, Z-X., E. Kalnay, D Parrish, W. Wu and Z. Toth, 1997: The use of the bred vectors in the NCEP operational 3-dimensional variational system. Weather and Forecasting, 12, 689-695.
• Toth, Zoltan, Eugenia Kalnay, Steve Tracton, Richard Wobus, and Joseph Irwin, 1997: A synoptic evaluation of the NCEP ensemble. Weather and Forecasting, 12, 140-153.
• Pu, Z-X., SJ Lord and E Kalnay, 1998: Forecast Sensitivity with Dropwindsonde Data and Targeted Observations. Tellus, 50A, 391-410.
• E. Kalnay, S, Lord and R. McPherson, 1998: Maturity of Numerical Weather Prediction: the medium range. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 2753-2769.
• E. Kalnay, Seon Ki Park, Zhao-xia Pu and Jidong Gao, 2000: Applications of the quasiinverse method to data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev, 128, 864-875.
• Pu, Zhao-Xia and Eugenia Kalnay, 2000: Targeting observations with the quasi-inverse linear and adjoint NCEP global models: performance during FASTEX. QJRMS, 125, 3329-3337.
• Hou, D., E. Kalnay, and K.K. Droegemeier, 2000: Objective verification of the SAMEX '98 ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.
• Kistler, R., E. Kalnay, and co-authors, 2000: The NCEP/NCAR 50-year Reanalysis. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 82, 247-267.
• Hong, Song-you and E. Kalnay, 2000: Origin and maintenance of the Oklahoma-Texas drought of 1998. Nature, 842-845.
• Falkovich, Alexander, E. Kalnay, S. Lord and Mukut Mathur, 2000: A new method of observed rainfall assimilation in forecast models.J. Applied Met. 39, 1282-1298.
• Patil, DJ, B Hunt, E Kalnay, E Ott, J Yorke, 2001: Local Low Dimensionality of Atmospheric Dynamics. Phys. Rev. Letters, 86, 5878.
• Cai, Ming, E. Kalnay and Z. Toth, 2002: Bred Vectors of the Zebiak-Cane Model and Their Application to ENSO Predictions. Accepted in J. of Climate.
• Seon-ki Park and E. Kalnay, 2002: Inverse 3D-var with an advection-diffusion problem: Validity and Performance. Submitted to Monthly Weather Review.
• Song-you Hong and Eugenia Kalnay, 2002: The 1998 Oklahoma-Texas Drought: Mechanistic Experiments with NCEP Global and Regional Models. J. of Climate, in press.
• Corazza, M., E. Kalnay, D. J. Patil, R. Morss, I. Szunyogh, B. R. Hunt, E. Ott, and M. Cai, 2001: Use of the breeding technique to estimate the structure of the analysis “errors of the day”. Submitted to Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics.
• Pena, M., E. Kalnay and M. Cai, 2002: Statistics of coupled ocean and atmosphere intraseasonal anomalies in Reanalysis and AMIP data. Submitted to the Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, European Geophysical Society.
• Kalnay, Eugenia, 2002: Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability. Cambridge University Press, in press.