Jesus Crespo Cuaresma - Selected Publications#

A Meta-Analysis of Country-Level Studies on Environmental Change and Migration (with R. Hoffmann, A. Dimitrova, R. Muttarak and J. Peisker), Nature Climate Change Vol. 10 (2020): 904-912. [First systematic meta-analysis on the effects of environmental change on migration, cited already 11 times - source: Google Scholar, broad media discussion of the results]

Education Rather than Age Structure Brings Demographic Dividend (with W. Lutz, E.B. Kebede, A. Furnkranz-Prskawetz, W. Sanderson and E. Striessnig), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Vol. 116 (2019): 12798 -12803. [Empirical assessment of the role of education as a trigger of the demographic dividend, cited already 24 times - source: Google Scholar, broad media discussion of the results]

Climate, Conflict and Forced Migration (with G. Abel, M. Brottrager and R. Muttarak), Global Environmental Change, Vol. 54 (2019): 239-249. [First empirical assessment of the role played by environmental change as a cause of conflict and forced migration, cited already 178 times - source: Google Scholar, broad media discussion of the results]

Spillovers from US Monetary Policy: Evidence from a Time-Varying Parameter GVAR Model (with G. Doppelhofer, M. Feldkircher and F. Huber), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), Vol. 182 (2019): 831-861. [Awarded the Vladas Jurgutis Award of the Bank of Lithuania]

Income Projections for Climate Change Research: A Framework Based on Human Capital Dynamics, Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42 (2017): 226-236. [The article develops income per capita projections for the most countries of the world that are being used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in the framework of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Cited 153 times]

Economic Development and Forest Cover: Evidence from Satellite Data (with O. Danylo, S. Fritz, I. McCallum, M. Obersteiner, L. See and B. Walsh), Scientific Reports, Vol. 7 (2017): 40678. [First rigorous empirical assessment of the causal role of economic development as a determinant of deforestation. Cited 48 times - source: Google Scholar, broad media discussion of the results]

Unveiling Covariate Inclusion Structures In Economic Growth Regressions Using Latent Class Analysis (with B. Gruen, P. Hofmarcher, S. Humer and M. Moser), European Economic Review, Vol. 81 (2016): 189-202. [This piece helped solve a controversy on the measure of jointness in Bayesian model averaging methods, consolidating the literature. Cited 13 times - source: Google Scholar]

Is the Demographic Dividend an Education Dividend? (with W. Lutz and W. Sanderson), Demography, Vol. 51 (2014), 299-315. [First empirical assessment of the role of human capital as a determinant of age structure change and productivity increases in the context of demographic transitions. Cited 159 times - source: Google Scholar, broad media discussion of the results]

Spatial Filtering, Model Uncertainty and the Speed of Income Convergence in Europe (with M. Feldkircher), Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 28 (2013), 720-741. [The piece presents a novel approach to assessing uncertainty about geographical spillovers in spatial econometric models. Cited 89 times - source: Google Scholar]

The Demography of Educational Attainment and Economic Growth (with W. Lutz and W. Sanderson), Science, Vol. 319 (2008), 1047-1048. [The piece was the first one to show evidence on the role of age-structured education data to explain economic growth differences across countries. Cited 321 times - source: Google Scholar, broad media discussion of the results]